人口影响因素的统计分析和人口预测是非常重要的 ,但是通常的回归只能作出平均预测 ,而数据包络方法又不能作出概率意义的统计分析。应用随机前沿面模型对 1991～ 1998年全国人口统计数据进行全面的统计分析 ,比较精确地求出了各个变量的影响作用 ,从概率意义刻画了人口增长的趋势 ,从而为人口规划提供了较好的科学依据

Stochastic Frontier Analysis for Population and Society Economics Peng Shuzhen Zhou Jin Assoc.Prof.,Schoolo f Foreign Languages,WUT, Wuhan 430070,China.This paper applies stochastic frontier models to analyze the relationship between population and society economics using the statistical table of population during 1991～1998, and obtains the effective coefficient about each variable.population; society economics relationship; stochastic frontier model